Trade on math,
not on hope.

Free calculators that reveal the honest mathematical reality of your strategy — expectancy, risk of ruin, position sizing — plus education without the hype. The quant desk's tools, made readable.

FIG.1  SIMULATED EQUITY · 10,000 PATHS55% WR · 1.5R · 1%/trade
Median outcome10th–90th percentileStarting capital
The tools

Six calculators that do the honest arithmetic for you

All tools →

Strategy Reality Check

FLAGSHIP

The one that tells most strategies the truth: your win rate is not your edge.

Monte CarloExpectancyDrawdown

Position Size Calculator

Turns "how many lots?" into arithmetic you can defend at 2am.

RiskLotsPips

Risk of Ruin

A number most course-sellers would rather you never calculate.

ProbabilitySurvival

Expectancy Calculator

If this number is negative, no position size can save you.

EdgeR-multiple

Drawdown Recovery

The asymmetry that quietly ends most trading accounts.

DrawdownRecovery

Compounding Calculator

Compounding is real. The screenshots on Instagram usually are not.

GrowthCosts
Why most traders lose

It usually isn't bad luck. It's math they were never shown.

Three numbers explain most blown accounts. None of them are a secret — they're just quietly inconvenient for anyone selling a course.

[PLACEHOLDER-NUMBER]

of retail accounts lose money

Broker disclosures across regulated markets land here year after year. The house edge is real — but most of the damage is self-inflicted through sizing and expectancy.

−0.05R

a 50% win rate at 1:1 after costs

Coin-flip accuracy feels fine until you subtract spread and commission. Without a reward-to-risk edge, "winning half your trades" is a slow, confident bleed.

+100%

to recover a 50% drawdown

Losses and gains are not symmetric. Halve your account and you need to double what remains just to break even. This is why survival beats aggression.

Learn the math

Guides that respect your intelligence

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Compare, honestly

Brokers & prop firms, scored on what actually moves your P&L

Spreads, commissions, execution, and the payout reality — not the marketing. We disclose exactly who pays us and prove it never changes the ranking.

See the comparisons
[PLACEHOLDER-BROKER-1][PLACEHOLDER-NUMBER][PLACEHOLDER-NUMBER]
[PLACEHOLDER-BROKER-2][PLACEHOLDER-NUMBER][PLACEHOLDER-NUMBER]
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SPREAD = EUR/USD TYPICAL · SCORE = TRADEONMATH RATING /10

One honest trading-math insight per week

No signals. No hype. No "secret setups." Just one clear idea about risk, expectancy, or position sizing that makes you a more mathematically honest trader.

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Transparent methodology

Every score, band, and simulation is documented. We show the formula and the assumptions, so you can check our work.

A no-hype promise

No signals, no courses, no guaranteed returns, no lambos. If a claim can’t survive the math, it doesn’t appear here.

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Honest affiliate disclosure

We earn from some broker links. It never changes rankings — and we tell you, on every page, exactly when it happens.